Denis Yevseyev vs Matteo CovatoM25 Ueberlingen Round of 32

M25 Ueberlingen · ITF · Round of 32
#444ATP
1375ELO
1341Clay ELO
33 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
#756ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Yevseyev D.
6-3 6-4
Covato M.
Yevseyev D.
662
Covato M.
340

Denis Yevseyev defeated Matteo Covato 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Ueberlingen tournament on clay. Yevseyev converted all three of his break points, while Covato converted one of four. Yevseyev also had a higher first-serve win percentage, at 74%, compared to Covato's 64%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Clear edge
42%
30%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Yevseyev D.85%
Covato M.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Yevseyev D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.32 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Yevseyev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw