Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Bu YunchaoketeQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#155ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 3rd on
#120ATP
1709ELO
1644Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-3 6-1
Yunchaokete B.
Budkov Kjaer N.
662
Yunchaokete B.
310

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the Round of 32 at the Quebec City tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-1 in favor of Kjaer. Key stats included Kjaer serving 6 aces to Bu Yunchaokete's 3 and converting 50% of break points to Bu Yunchaokete's 0%.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersQ1clayBu Yunchaokete6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
72%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
3
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
92
Break points won·Dominant
39
8
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
0
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Budkov Kjaer N.51%
Yunchaokete B.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1598
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1709
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
80

Budkov Kjaer N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Yunchaokete B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw