James Watt vs Ugo BlanchetQuebec City Q8

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q8
#889ATP
1328ELO
1322Hard ELO
26 yrs · 206 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT CROMWELL · 1st on
#192ATP
1521ELO
1546Hard ELO
$119kYTD
$989kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLLWW
Watt J.
7-6 2-6 5-7
Blanchet U.
Watt J.
77251
Blanchet U.
63672

Ugo Blanchet defeated James Watt 6-7, 6-2, 7-5 in the Quebec City qualifying eighth-final. Blanchet hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, winning 74 percent of his first-serve points and converting 31 percent of break points. He won 4 service breaks to Watt's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Watt J.26%
Blanchet U.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Blanchet U. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1322
Surface ELO
7.8+224 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1328
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1521
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
52

Watt J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Blanchet U.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw