Daniil Glinka vs Florent BaxKingston Round of 32

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#160ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$268kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
#247ATP
1399ELO
1387Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Glinka D.
2-6 6-3 6-0
Bax F.
Glinka D.
2662
Bax F.
6301

Daniil Glinka defeated Florent Bax in the Round of 32 at the Kingston hard-court tournament. Glinka won the match in three sets, 2-6, 6-3, 6-0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-11M25 Roehampton 1R32hardDaniil Glinka6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Glinka D.58%
Bax F.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Glinka D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+104 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1387
6.0Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1399
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
75
76

Glinka D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Bax F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw