Andrea Pellegrino vs Nishesh BasavareddyQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#135ATP
1674ELO
1422Hard ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT FASKEN · 3rd on
#148ATP
1722ELO
1681Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLW
Pellegrino A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Basavareddy N.
Pellegrino A.
3662
Basavareddy N.
6341

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Nishesh Basavareddy 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Quebec City tournament. Pellegrino hit 11 aces and committed 1 double fault, while converting 22% of break points and winning 80% of first-serve points. Basavareddy had 10 aces, 4 double faults, 100% break point conversion, and 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
90
Break points won·Clear edge
35
49
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Pellegrino A.17%
Basavareddy N.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Basavareddy N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1422
Surface ELO
8.2+259 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1722
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.61 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
78

Pellegrino A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Basavareddy N.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw