Felix Balshaw vs Alejandro Moro CanasCancun 2 Q16

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Q16
#254ATP
1551ELO
1397Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 3 · 2nd on
#240ATP
1526ELO
1519Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Balshaw F.
4-6 6-7
Moro Canas A.
Balshaw F.
4630
Moro Canas A.
6772

Alejandro Moro Canas defeated Felix Balshaw in the Cancun 2 quarterfinals. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Moro Canas. Key stats included Moro Canas' 5 aces and 67% first-serve win percentage, compared to Balshaw's 2 aces and 63% first-serve win percentage.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
67%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.3
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Balshaw F.46%
Moro Canas A.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1397
Surface ELO
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1551
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
60

Balshaw F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Moro Canas A.: played today · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw