K. Edengren vs Andrea Bacaloni — M15 Bastad Round of 32
M15 Bastad · ITF · Round of 32
SWEK. Edengren
#1262ATP
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
Edengren K.6-4 6-3
Bacaloni A.
Edengren K.
662
Bacaloni A.
430
K. Edengren defeated Andrea Bacaloni in the Round of 32 at the M15 Bastad on clay, winning 6-4, 6-3. Edengren hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, winning 76% of first-serve points and converting 30% of break points. Edengren converted 3 service breaks to Bacaloni's 1.
Key context
- Match story: K. Edengren closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonEdengren K.Bacaloni A.
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCEdengren K.34%
Bacaloni A.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Bacaloni A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchEdengren K.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 64%