Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
Alexandra Eala
PHI17
Alexandra Eala
#20WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 10 · 5th on
Amanda Anisimova
USA9
Amanda Anisimova
#10WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWL
Eala A.
6-4 4-6 2-6
Anisimova A.
Eala A.
6421
Anisimova A.
4662

Amanda Anisimova defeated Alexandra Eala in the Round of 32 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, 4-6, 6-4, 6-2. Anisimova hit 3 aces to Eala's 0 and won 66% of her first serves, compared to Eala's 58%. Anisimova converted 29% of her break points and won 5 service breaks to Eala's 3.

Around the match

  • “I was playing well and feeling really focused. I tried to stay in the zone.”

    Eala A.Al Jazeera ↗

  • Rising 21-year-old star earned her Cincinnati Open debut victory when opponent Elena-Gabriela Ruse retired after Eala won the first set 6-1.

    Eala A.Yahoo Sports ↗

  • “I haven't played her before. She's been having such an incredible season, an incredible year. Very great player with a lot of fans, so I'm really looking forward to that.”

    Anisimova A.Tennis365 ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Eala A.Anisimova A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Eala A.Anisimova A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
89
Break points saved·Dominant
12
84
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
96
Tiebreaks·
—
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Eala A.32%
Anisimova A.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Anisimova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Eala A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Anisimova A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1832
Surface ELO
5.6+47 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1914
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Eala A.Anisimova A.
Freshness·Even
68
69

Eala A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Anisimova A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw