Liam Draxl vs Andres Andrade — Kingston Round of 32

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Liam Draxl
CAN
Liam Draxl
#216ATP
1592ELO
1565Hard ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
ECU
Andres Andrade
#256ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLLL
Draxl L.
2-6 3-6
Andrade A.
Draxl L.
230
Andrade A.
662

Andres Andrade defeated Liam Draxl in the Round of 32 at the Kingston hard-court tournament. The match ended in straight sets, 6-2, 6-3 in favor of Andrade.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Draxl L.Andrade A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Draxl L.Andrade A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
44
Break points saved·Dominant
83
53
Break points won·Clear edge
36
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Draxl L.65%
Andrade A.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Draxl L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Draxl L.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Andrade A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+138 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1427
6.1Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1505
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Draxl L.Andrade A.
Freshness·Dominant
89
61

Draxl L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Andrade A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 104 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw