Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#35WTA
1776ELO
1749Hard ELO
$682kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
TONY TRABERT STADIUM 3 · 4th on
#18WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLWW
Bejlek S.
4-6 6-1 6-2
Alexandrova E.
Bejlek S.
4662
Alexandrova E.
6121

Sara Bejlek defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Round of 32 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2. Bejlek served 5 aces to Alexandrova's 1 and converted 71% of her break points, compared to Alexandrova's 33%. Bejlek won 71% of her first-serve points to Alexandrova's 55%.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-01Abu DhabiFhardSara Bejlek7-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
71
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
52
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Bejlek S.51%
Alexandrova E.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1749
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1776
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1844
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
56

Bejlek S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw