Tereza Valentova vs Elina SvitolinaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#64WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Valentova T.
6-3 6-7 0-6
Svitolina E.
Valentova T.
66501
Svitolina E.
37762

Elina Svitolina defeated Tereza Valentova in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Svitolina won the match 3-6, 7-6, 6-0. Svitolina hit 6 aces and 4 double faults, while Valentova had 0 aces and 8 double faults; Svitolina converted 50% of her break points and broke Valentova's serve 6 times, compared to 5 breaks for Valentova.

Around the match

  • Svitolina mounted a dramatic comeback at Cincinnati, saving seven match points to defeat Valentova in a remarkable escape.

    Svitolina E.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Valentova T.28%
Svitolina E.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
7.5+201 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1818
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2070
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
66

Valentova T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw