Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia PotapovaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#240WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 8 · 5th on
#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
Stephens S.
6-2 6-4
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
662
Potapova A.
240

Sloane Stephens defeated Anastasia Potapova in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Stephens won the match in straight sets, 6-2, 6-4.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardAnastasia Potapova7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
64
Break points saved·Clear edge
26
49
Break points won·Even
90
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Stephens S.24%
Potapova A.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Potapova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
7.2+174 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1904
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
90

Stephens S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw