Jakub Paul vs Rudolf MollekerPrague Q16

Prague · CHALLENGER · Q16
#808ATP
1389ELO
1348Clay ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
#481ATP
1387ELO
1382Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLLL
Paul J.
0-6 1-6
Molleker R.
Paul J.
010
Molleker R.
662

Rudolf Molleker defeated Jakub Paul 6-0, 6-1 in the Prague Q16. Molleker hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, winning 76% of first-serve points and converting 70% of break points. Molleker converted 7 service breaks to Paul's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
6.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
21
10
Break points saved·Slight edge
62
69
Break points won·Slight edge
20
12
Deciding sets·Even
5
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
24

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Paul J.40%
Molleker R.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Molleker R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1348
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1389
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1387
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
69

Paul J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Molleker R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CShowers
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw