Dan Martin vs Lautaro MidonKingston Round of 32

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#636ATP
1313ELO
1276Hard ELO
27 yrs · 175 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#193ATP
1526ELO
1451Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
Martin D.
3-6 7-5 4-6
Midon L.
Martin D.
3741
Midon L.
6562

Lautaro Midon defeated Dan Martin in the Round of 32 of the Kingston hard-court tournament. Midon won the match in three sets, 6-3, 5-7, 6-4. Midon advanced with the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Lautaro Midon closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Martin D.22%
Midon L.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Midon L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1276
Surface ELO
7.2+175 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1313
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.71 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.05 of last 7 on hard
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
80

Martin D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Midon L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw