Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub MensikCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 32
#95ATP
1748ELO
1694Hard ELO
$601kYTD
$4.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 7 · 3rd on
#16ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLWL
Hijikata R.
3-6 4-6
Mensik J.
Hijikata R.
340
Mensik J.
662

Jakub Mensik defeated Rinky Hijikata in the Round of 32 of the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts, winning 6-3, 6-4. Mensik hit 13 aces and committed 3 double faults, while Hijikata had none of either. Mensik converted 25% of break points and won 84% of first-serve points to secure the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Mensik closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
11.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
96
Break points won·Dominant
12
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Hijikata R.21%
Mensik J.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mensik J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1694
Surface ELO
7.5+199 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1748
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.2Won 86% in Usa (43)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
67

Hijikata R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw