Harold Mayot vs Gustavo Heide — Kingston Round of 32

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Harold Mayot
FRA
Harold Mayot
#252ATP
1571ELO
1548Hard ELO
$73kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 3rd on
BRA2
Gustavo Heide
#133ATP
1695ELO
1536Hard ELO
$178kYTD
$620kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Mayot H.
6-3 6-2
Heide G.
Mayot H.
662
Heide G.
320

Harold Mayot defeated Gustavo Heide in the Round of 32 of the Kingston hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Mayot. Mayot advanced with the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mayot H.Heide G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mayot H.Heide G.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
51
Break points saved·Even
92
90
Break points won·Clear edge
22
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
32
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Mayot H.41%
Heide G.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Heide G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mayot H.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Heide G.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+12 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1536
3.4Overall Elo 1571
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1695
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mayot H.Heide G.
Freshness·Even
90
87

Mayot H.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Heide G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw