Andrew Paulson vs Norbert Gombos — Prague Q16

Prague · CHALLENGER · Q16
Andrew Paulson
CZE
Andrew Paulson
#619ATP
1452ELO
1427Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
Norbert Gombos
SVK7
Norbert Gombos
#424ATP
1472ELO
1455Clay ELO
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Paulson A.
2-6 1-6
Gombos N.
Paulson A.
210
Gombos N.
662

Norbert Gombos defeated Andrew Paulson 6-2, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the Prague clay court tournament. Gombos served effectively, hitting 6 aces and committing 4 double faults, while winning 95% of his first-serve points. He converted 83% of his break points and broke Paulson's serve 5 times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Paulson A.Gombos N.
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paulson A.Gombos N.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
2
16
Break points saved·Dominant
40
72
Break points won·Even
3
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
50
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
30
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Paulson A.41%
Gombos N.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gombos N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paulson A.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Gombos N.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1427
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1452
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1472
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paulson A.Gombos N.
Freshness·Clear edge
82
65

Paulson A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Gombos N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw