Kenta Miyoshi vs Roger Pascual Ferra

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Q16

JPN5

Kenta Miyoshi

#495ATP

1476ELO

1447Hard ELO

22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWWWLWW

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 17 August 2026 · 11:45

hard

CENTRE COURT · 2nd on

ESPALT

Roger Pascual Ferra

#682ATP

20 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLWLWWWWW

Miyoshi K.

4-6 7-5 6-1

Pascual Ferra R.

Miyoshi K.

4762

Pascual Ferra R.

6511

Kenta Miyoshi defeated Roger Pascual Ferra in the Kingston hard-court qualifying round of 16. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 in favor of Miyoshi.

Key context

Match story: Kenta Miyoshi dropped the opening set before beating Roger Pascual Ferra 4–6 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Miyoshi K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Pascual Ferra R.

Pascual Ferra R.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Miyoshi K.

Serve advantage — Miyoshi K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Miyoshi K.Pascual Ferra R.

1st serve in·Clear edge

55%

73%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

69%

56%

2nd serve points won·Even

51%

53%

Service points won·Slight edge

61%

55%

Return points won·Even

44%

41%

Break points saved·Clear edge

63%

44%

Aces / match·Dominant

4.0

0.5

Double faults / match·Even

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC

Miyoshi K.52%

Pascual Ferra R.48%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Miyoshi K.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Pascual Ferra R.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.88 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.47 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Miyoshi K.Pascual Ferra R.

Freshness·Clear edge

Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Pascual Ferra R.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather

32°CThunderstorm

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 66%

Kenta Miyoshi vs Roger Pascual Ferra — Kingston Q16

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return