Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William DonaldPrague Q16

Prague · CHALLENGER · Q16
#417ATP
1496ELO
1478Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#461ATP
21 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLWW
Fatic N.
7-5 4-6 6-3
William Donald M.
Fatic N.
7462
William Donald M.
5631

Nerman Fatic defeated Matthew William Donald 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 in the Prague Q16. Fatic hit 8 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 75% of his break points. Fatic won 3 service breaks to Donald's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Nerman Fatic closed it out in three sets, 7–5 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Fatic N.51%
William Donald M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
68

Fatic N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d) · William Donald M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw