M. St. Hilaire vs Taro Daniel — Quebec City Q16

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q16
CANWC
M. St. Hilaire
#1824ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE COURT CROMWELL · 2nd on
Taro Daniel
JPN5
Taro Daniel
#186ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
St. Hilaire M.
5-7 3-6
Daniel T.
St. Hilaire M.
530
Daniel T.
762

Taro Daniel defeated M. St. Hilaire in the Quebec City hard court tournament's round of 16. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-3 in favor of Daniel.

Key context

  • Match story: Taro Daniel closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
St. Hilaire M.Daniel T.
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
53%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
48%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
St. Hilaire M.15%
Daniel T.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Daniel T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
St. Hilaire M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Daniel T.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
St. Hilaire M.Daniel T.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
69

St. Hilaire M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw