Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lucas Andrade Da SilvaKingston Q16

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Q16
#354ATP
1303ELO
1237Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 1st on
#820ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Marrero Curbelo I.
4-6 4-6
Andrade Da Silva L.
Marrero Curbelo I.
440
Andrade Da Silva L.
662

Lucas Andrade Da Silva defeated Ivan Marrero Curbelo 6-4, 6-4 in the Kingston hard-court tournament's round of 16. The match was part of the qualifying draw. Da Silva won the match in straight sets.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Marrero Curbelo I.53%
Andrade Da Silva L.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
60

Marrero Curbelo I.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Andrade Da Silva L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw