Tristan Boyer vs James Watt — Quebec City Q16
Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q16
USA4#170ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 3 · 2nd on
NZLALT#889ATP
1328ELO
1322Hard ELO
26 yrs · 206 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWL
Boyer T.6-7 2-6
Watt J.
Boyer T.
61020
Watt J.
71262
James Watt defeated Tristan Boyer 7-6, 6-2 in the Quebec City quarterfinals. Watt served 10 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Boyer had one of each. Watt converted 33% of his break points and broke Boyer's serve twice en route to the win.
Key context
- Match story: James Watt closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCBoyer T.82%
Watt J.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Boyer T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
7.5+203 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO2.5Hard Elo 1322
7.9Overall Elo 1561
ELO gap2.1Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countSurface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.