Alexander Blockx vs Flavio CobolliCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 32
#32ATP
1906ELO
1793Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 1st on
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.2MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWWLL
Blockx A.
5-7 6-4 5-7
Cobolli F.
Blockx A.
5651
Cobolli F.
7472

Flavio Cobolli defeated Alexander Blockx in the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 in favor of Cobolli. He converted 44% of his break points and secured 4 service breaks, ultimately prevailing over Blockx.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAlexander Blockx6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
71
75
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Slight edge
27
38
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Even
87
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Blockx A.44%
Cobolli F.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1793
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1896
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
71
67

Blockx A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw