Stefano Napolitano vs Ugo BlanchetQuebec City Q16

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q16
#229ATP
1528ELO
1456Hard ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 3 · 1st on
#192ATP
1521ELO
1546Hard ELO
$119kYTD
$989kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLLWW
Napolitano S.
4-6 6-4 6-7
Blanchet U.
Napolitano S.
46641
Blanchet U.
64772

Ugo Blanchet defeated Stefano Napolitano in the Quebec City Q16 on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 in favor of Blanchet. Both players recorded 4 service breaks, 3 double faults, and had differing conversion rates on break points, 25% for Blanchet and 40% for Napolitano.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.5
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
34
Break points saved·Dominant
45
89
Break points won·Clear edge
36
15
Deciding sets·Clear edge
29
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Napolitano S.34%
Blanchet U.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Blanchet U. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1456
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1521
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
78
52

Napolitano S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Blanchet U.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw