Nicolas Arseneault vs Tristan Schoolkate — Quebec City Q16
Arseneault N.
Tristan Schoolkate defeated Nicolas Arseneault 7-5, 6-4 in the Quebec City quarterfinals. Schoolkate hit 7 aces and 2 double faults, winning 78 percent of his first serves. He converted 25 percent of break points and won 3 service breaks to Arseneault's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Tristan Schoolkate edged Nicolas Arseneault in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Schoolkate T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadArseneault N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Schoolkate T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 136 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About