Robert Strombachs vs Antoine VincentM15 Warsaw Final

M15 Warsaw · ITF · Final
#449ATP
1294ELO
1287Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
#1639ATP
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
Strombachs R.
7-6 6-4
Vincent A.
Strombachs R.
7762
Vincent A.
6240

Robert Strombachs won the M15 Warsaw final, defeating Antoine Vincent 7-6, 6-4. The match was played on hard courts.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
64%
1st serve points won·
72%
2nd serve points won·
46%
Service points won·
63%
Return points won·
35%
Break points saved·
61%
Aces / match·
3.8
Double faults / match·
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Strombachs R.94%
Vincent A.6%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Strombachs R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw