Peyton Stearns vs Clara TausonCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#53WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
#42WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$911kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLW
Stearns P.
6-7 6-1 5-7
Tauson C.
Stearns P.
67651
Tauson C.
79172

Clara Tauson defeated Peyton Stearns in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 7-6, 1-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Tauson hit 13 aces and 10 double faults, converting 56% of break points, while Stearns had 8 aces and 6 double faults, converting 37%. Tauson secured 5 service breaks to Stearns' 7.

Key context

  • Match story: Clara Tauson closed it out in three sets, 7–6 1–6 7–5.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiR32hardClara Tauson6-2 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardPeyton Stearns6-3 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
45
63
Break points saved·Dominant
43
76
Break points won·Slight edge
96
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
42
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Stearns P.45%
Tauson C.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1755
Surface ELO
5.3+20 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1802
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.1Won 68% in Usa (127)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
71

Stearns P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Tauson C.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw