Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia PotapovaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#240WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 8 · 5th on
AUT24
Anastasia Potapova
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWL
Stephens S.
6-2 6-4
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
662
Potapova A.
240

Sloane Stephens defeated Anastasia Potapova in the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-2, 6-4 on hard courts. Stephens converted 71% of her break points and secured five service breaks, while Potapova had nine double faults. Stephens had 69% first-serve win percentage and Potapova had 60%.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-18Australian OpenR128hardAnastasia Potapova7-6(2) 6-4

Statistics

This season
Stephens S.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stephens S.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Even
59
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
35
Break points won·Even
91
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Stephens S.25%
Potapova A.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Potapova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Potapova A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stephens S.Potapova A.
Freshness·Clear edge
81
96

Stephens S.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw