Dominik Recek vs Andrew PaulsonPrague Q32

Prague · CHALLENGER · Q32
#822ATP
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#619ATP
1452ELO
1427Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWW
Recek D.
5-7 3-6
Paulson A.
Recek D.
530
Paulson A.
762

Andrew Paulson defeated Dominik Recek 7-5, 6-3 in the qualifying second round of the Prague clay court tournament. Paulson hit 2 aces and 6 double faults, winning 79 percent of his first serves and converting 62 percent of break points. He won 5 service breaks to Recek's 3.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-09-23M25 Pardubice 1R32clayAndrew Paulson6-2 7-6(10)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Recek D.44%
Paulson A.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.13 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
82

Recek D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Paulson A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw