Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#44WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 8 · 3rd on
#90WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWWWL
Siniakova K.
6-7 6-1 6-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Siniakova K.
65662
Bouzas Maneiro J.
77111

Katerina Siniakova defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-1, 6-1 in favor of Siniakova. Key stats included Siniakova's 3 aces and 13 double faults, compared to Bouzas Maneiro's 0 aces and 6 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-19ClevelandR16hardKaterina Siniakova2-6 6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
35
18
Break points saved·Clear edge
21
4
Break points won·Even
92
93
Deciding sets·Even
20
24
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Siniakova K.51%
Bouzas Maneiro J.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+144 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1664
6.6Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1721
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
78

Siniakova K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw