Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller — Hamburg Final
Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Final
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
GERALT#327ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Kumstat J.4-6 7-6 7-5
Moeller M.
Kumstat J.
47772
Moeller M.
66551
Jan Kumstat won the final of the Hamburg clay court tournament, defeating Marvin Moeller 4-6, 7-6, 7-5. The match went the full three sets, with Kumstat ultimately emerging victorious.
Key context
- Match story: Jan Kumstat dropped the opening set before beating Marvin Moeller 4–6 7–6 7–5.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | M25 Pardubice 1 | QF | clay | Jan Kumstat | 7-5 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Dominant
40%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTCKumstat J.50%
Moeller M.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
10.010 of last 10 on clay
Surface form9.09 of last 10 on clay
10.011-match win streak
Win streak7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
45
53
Kumstat J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 131 games (7d) · Moeller M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 50%