Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosKingston Q32

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Q32
#785ATP
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 4th on
#528ATP
1154ELO
1166Hard ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Kuhar M.
6-7 7-6 2-6
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
Kuhar M.
657721
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
776462

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos defeated Matt Kuhar in the Q32 of the Kingston hard-court tournament. The match was decided in three sets, with Dos Santos taking the first set 7-6, Kuhar leveling at 6-7, before Dos Santos won the final set 6-2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Kuhar M.38%
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
59

Kuhar M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CThunderstorm
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw