Nicolas Kicker vs Maxim MrvaTodi Final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Final
#366ATP
1385ELO
1373Clay ELO
34 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#309ATP
1500ELO
1447Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Kicker N.
2-6 2-6
Mrva M.
Kicker N.
220
Mrva M.
662

Maxim Mrva won the Todi final, defeating Nicolas Kicker 6-2, 6-2. Mrva hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, while Kicker had 1 ace and 2 double faults. Mrva converted 78% of his break points, compared to 50% for Kicker, as he secured 7 service breaks to Kicker's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kicker N.41%
Mrva M.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mrva M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1373
Surface ELO
5.9+74 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1500
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
55

Kicker N.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Mrva M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw