Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Cincinnati Round of 64
ESP12
Jodar R.
Rafael Jodar defeated Denis Shapovalov in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 in favor of Jodar. Key stats included Jodar's 1 ace and 4 double faults compared to Shapovalov's 3 aces and 7 double faults.
Around the match
Shapovalov showed no signs of the foot injury that cut short his Montreal campaign, posting a comfortable straight-set victory.
Shapovalov D.Perfect Tennis ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Rafael Jodar edged Denis Shapovalov in three tight sets (7–5 4–6 7–5).
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | R32 | hard | Denis Shapovalov | 6-1 6-2 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jodar R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadJodar R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About