Kosuke Ogura vs Omar JasikaM15 Tianjin 2 Final

M15 Tianjin 2 · ITF · Final
#876ATP
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
#447ATP
1296ELO
1272Hard ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Ogura K.
6-7 2-6
Jasika O.
Ogura K.
620
Jasika O.
762

Omar Jasika defeated Kosuke Ogura in the final of the M15 Tianjin 2 hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 6-2. Jasika and Ogura each hit one ace and committed two and zero double faults, respectively. Jasika converted 44 percent of his break points and Ogura converted 40 percent, with Jasika securing four service breaks to Ogura's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Omar Jasika closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-08M15 Tokyo 4R32hardOmar Jasika3-6 6-1 1-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
61%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Ogura K.19%
Jasika O.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jasika O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw