Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd HarrisBrownsburg Final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Final
#210ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
BB WYNNE COURT · 1st on
#175ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWL
Ilagan A.
2-6 6-7
Harris L.
Ilagan A.
2660
Harris L.
6782

Lloyd Harris won the Brownsburg hard-court final, defeating Andre Ilagan 6-2, 7-6. Harris served 10 aces to Ilagan's one and converted 60 percent of his break points, compared to Ilagan's 25 percent. Harris won 88 percent of his first-serve points to Ilagan's 68 percent and secured three service breaks to Ilagan's one.

Around the match

  • Ilagan lost to Poonacha/Escobar in the Lexington Open doubles final the previous week after a dramatic comeback.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Lloyd Harris closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
67%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
37
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
89
Break points won·Slight edge
17
12
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
94
Tiebreaks·Even
14
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Ilagan A.30%
Harris L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Harris L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1518
Surface ELO
6.5+122 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
5.8Won 63% in Usa (54)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
56
45

Ilagan A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Harris L.: played today · 6 matches, 143 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw