Coco Gauff vs Liudmila SamsonovaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 6 · 4th on
#43WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWLW
Gauff C.
2-6 6-4 6-1
Samsonova L.
Gauff C.
2662
Samsonova L.
6411

Coco Gauff defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, overcoming a first-set loss to win 2-6, 6-4, 6-1. Gauff served 11 aces to Samsonova's 5 and won 81% of her first-serve points to her opponent's 73%. Gauff converted 38% of her break points and broke Samsonova's serve three times, while Samsonova broke Gauff's serve twice.

Around the match

  • I've been coming to this tournament since I was a little girl. For me, to see how far I've come, it's like a pinch-me moment.

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis
  • It was my first 1000-level title. I think it definitely gave me a lot of confidence before the Open, having that experience. It's always going to be a special tournament for me.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartR16clayCoco Gauff7-5 6-1
2023-07-31WashingtonSFhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-3
2021-04-05Charleston 1R32clayCoco Gauff4-6 6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
73
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Gauff C.83%
Samsonova L.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gauff C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+312 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1723
8.7Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1775
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
64
65

Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Samsonova L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw