Ben Shelton vs Jaime FariaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 4th on
#79ATP
1735ELO
1615Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLWWL
Shelton B.
4-6 4-6
Faria J.
Shelton B.
440
Faria J.
662

Jaime Faria defeated Ben Shelton 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament. Faria hit 5 aces and 6 double faults, winning 66% of first-serve points and converting 30% of break points. He won the match by taking 3 service breaks to Shelton's 1.

Around the match

  • It's been the best tennis that I've played, so I'm happy with that.

  • Becoming a great player is about raising your floor. Those 40 percent days, 70 percent days — if you're able to raise your floor level and still come out with wins, I think that's the important part for me.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Jaime Faria edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.7
7.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
79
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
100
76
Break points won·Dominant
47
22
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Shelton B.72%
Faria J.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+306 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1615
7.8Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1735
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
57

Shelton B.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Faria J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw