Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka — Astana Final
TUNWC
JPN4
Dougaz A.
Hayato Matsuoka won the Astana hard-court final, defeating Aziz Dougaz 0-6, 6-1, 7-6. The match saw both players achieve identical break point conversion and service break rates, as well as equal numbers of double faults. Matsuoka hit one ace to Dougaz's five.
Key context
- Match story: Hayato Matsuoka recovered from a 0–6 opening set to beat Aziz Dougaz.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadDougaz A.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 132 games (7d) · Matsuoka H.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 114 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About