Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Cincinnati Round of 64
RUS13
Rublev A.
Andrey Rublev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Rublev won the match in straight sets, taking the first set 7-6 and the second set 6-1.
Key context
- Match story: Andrey Rublev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.
Head to head
4–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | Beijing | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-0 4-6 6-4 |
| 2019-07-22 | Hamburg | SF | clay | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2015-05-10 | Rome Masters | Q1 | clay | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-7 6-3 |
| 2015-03-25 | Miami Masters | R128 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 1-6 6-1 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Rublev A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadRublev A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About