Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse — Cincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
Adam Walton
AUS
Adam Walton
#98ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 8 · 4th on
Ignacio Buse
PER29
Ignacio Buse
#36ATP
1822ELO
1662Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLWL
Walton A.
6-4 6-3
Buse I.
Walton A.
662
Buse I.
430

Adam Walton defeated Ignacio Buse in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-4, 6-3 on hard courts. Walton served with 92% efficiency on his first serve and converted 75% of his break points, securing three service breaks to Buse's one. The match saw Walton hit two aces and one double fault, while Buse hit four aces and no double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Adam Walton closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Walton A.Buse I.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Walton A.Buse I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
40
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
87
Break points won·Clear edge
8
28
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Walton A.48%
Buse I.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Walton A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Buse I.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1662
3.5Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.7Won 79% in Usa (38)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Walton A.Buse I.
Freshness·Dominant
64
90

Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Buse I.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw