Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo BerrettiniCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#14ATP
1922ELO
1882Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
#42ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWWW
Lehecka J.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Berrettini M.
Lehecka J.
66362
Berrettini M.
47731

Jiri Lehecka defeated Matteo Berrettini in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. Lehecka won 6-4, 6-7, 6-3. He hit 13 aces to Berrettini's 7 and converted 33% of break points, securing two service breaks to Berrettini's zero.

Around the match

  • I'm always coming back, I'm always pushing forward. No matter what is happening, I know that I've been there so many times and proved to myself that I can come back every single time.

    Berrettini M.Cincinnati Open
  • It's tough for me to see how many great players are struggling with injuries because I've been there and I know how tough it is. Once you've done something in your career, there's always going to be a chance to come back.

    Berrettini M.Cincinnati Open

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Jiri Lehecka closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
67%
Aces / match·Even
8.7
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
75
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
51
42
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
88
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Lehecka J.64%
Berrettini M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lehecka J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1797
6.1Overall Elo 1922
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1831
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
76

Lehecka J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw