Haruna Arakawa vs Asylzhan ArystanbekovaW15 Astana 5 Final

W15 Astana 5 · ITF · Final
#723WTA
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
#905WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Arakawa H.
2-6 2-6
Arystanbekova A.
Arakawa H.
220
Arystanbekova A.
662

Asylzhan Arystanbekova won the W15 Astana 5 final, defeating Haruna Arakawa 6-2, 6-2. Arystanbekova hit two aces and three double faults, winning 68 percent of her first serves and converting 56 percent of her break points. She broke Arakawa's serve five times, compared to Arakawa's one break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
62%
1st serve points won·
61%
2nd serve points won·
46%
Service points won·
56%
Return points won·
45%
Break points saved·
49%
Aces / match·
1.1
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Arakawa H.50%
Arystanbekova A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw