Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mirra AndreevaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#46WTA
1773ELO
1572Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 8 · 1st on
#6WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Oliynykova O.
1-6 0-6
Andreeva M.
Oliynykova O.
100
Andreeva M.
662

Mirra Andreeva defeated Oleksandra Oliynykova in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, winning 6-1, 6-0. Andreeva hit 3 aces and 6 double faults, while winning 77 percent of her first serves and converting 42 percent of her break points. Andreeva broke Oliynykova's serve 5 times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
75
83
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
94
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Oliynykova O.8%
Andreeva M.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Andreeva M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
10.0+422 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 2074
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
79

Oliynykova O.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 30 games (7d) · Andreeva M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw