Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger AliassimeCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#49ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 6 · 2nd on
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Tsitsipas S.
3-6 5-7
Auger Aliassime F.
Tsitsipas S.
350
Auger Aliassime F.
672

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-5 in favor of Auger Aliassime.

Around the match

  • I've been repeating a certain pattern for far too long, and I've made a clear decision with myself that I've had enough of it. I'm looking for something different in my life. I'm 28 years old. I'm not 21 anymore.

    Tsitsipas S.Cincinnati Open
  • I have a good relationship with my father. Unfortunately, I can't have him as my coach. I would like him to stay as my father, which I hope he respects.

    Tsitsipas S.Cincinnati Open
  • It got really windy. The wind was pushing against me. I felt like I had no power in my serve. It was tricky in the end but overall, for someone who hasn't played since Wimbledon — it's been a tough few weeks health-wise. But I'm happy to be back with a win like this.

    Auger Aliassime F.Sportsnet.ca
  • Notable return from absence: first match in 40 days after withdrawing from National Bank Open with back injury.

    Auger Aliassime F.Sportsnet.ca

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

74
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24DubaiFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-3
2023-10-30Paris MastersR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6
2022-02-07RotterdamFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-2
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-2 5-7 6-1
2021-04-19BarcelonaQFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-3
2021-03-15AcapulcoQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 4-6 6-3
2020-02-17MarseilleFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas7-6 7-6
2019-06-21LondonQFcarpetFelix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-2
2019-06-17Queen's ClubQFgrassFelix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-2
2019-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
70%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
68%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
10.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
75
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
71
31
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tsitsipas S.36%
Auger Aliassime F.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Auger Aliassime F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1802
Surface ELO
6.6+130 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1958
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
88

Tsitsipas S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw