Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#111WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 7 · 3rd on
#18WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWW
Blinkova A.
7-6 4-6 5-7
Alexandrova E.
Blinkova A.
77451
Alexandrova E.
65672

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Anna Blinkova in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 in favor of Alexandrova. Alexandrova hit 9 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 70 percent of her break points and winning 7 service breaks to Blinkova's 5.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09s HertogenboschR16grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-0 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
57
Break points saved·Dominant
11
71
Break points won·Slight edge
87
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
30
52
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Blinkova A.35%
Alexandrova E.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Alexandrova E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1654
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1844
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
63
56

Blinkova A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw