Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou BergsCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#40ATP
1744ELO
1676Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 4th on
#33ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$4.1MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Merida Aguilar D.
6-3 6-2
Bergs Z.
Merida Aguilar D.
662
Bergs Z.
320

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Zizou Bergs in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Merida Aguilar.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
7.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
55
56
Break points saved·Dominant
64
89
Break points won·Dominant
46
11
Deciding sets·Even
87
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Merida Aguilar D.47%
Bergs Z.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1676
Surface ELO
6.0+81 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1808
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
86

Merida Aguilar D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Bergs Z.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw