Jan Lennard Struff vs Alejandro TabiloCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#43ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#29ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLW
Lennard Struff J.
3-6 4-6
Tabilo A.
Lennard Struff J.
340
Tabilo A.
662

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Jan Lennard Struff in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Tabilo and Struff were even in aces, 5-5, and double faults, 1-2 in favor of Tabilo. Tabilo converted 67% of break points and won 82% of first-serve points to secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.3
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
51
37
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Clear edge
5
22
Deciding sets·Even
68
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Lennard Struff J.41%
Tabilo A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tabilo A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1634
Surface ELO
6.4+116 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
83

Lennard Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw