Maria Sara Popa vs Mariana SimionescuW15 Bucharest 3 Semi-final

W15 Bucharest 3 · ITF · Semi-final
#430WTA
1412ELO
1395Clay ELO
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
#810WTA
69 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWLWL
Sara Popa M.
6-3 7-5
Simionescu M.
Sara Popa M.
672
Simionescu M.
350

Maria Sara Popa defeated Mariana Simionescu 6-3, 7-5 in the semifinals of the W15 Bucharest 3 clay court tournament. Popa hit 2 aces and 6 double faults, winning 71% of her first serves and converting 47% of her break points. She won 7 service breaks to Simionescu's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
64%
1st serve points won·
63%
2nd serve points won·
43%
Service points won·
56%
Return points won·
47%
Break points saved·
54%
Aces / match·
1.5
Double faults / match·
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Sara Popa M.74%
Simionescu M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sara Popa M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw