Simona Waltert vs Jessica Pegula — Cincinnati Round of 64
USA3
Waltert S.
Jessica Pegula defeated Simona Waltert in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Pegula. Key stats included Pegula's 72% first-serve win percentage and 55% break points converted, compared to Waltert's 50% and 33%, respectively.
Around the match
“It definitely wasn't something that was kind of brought all on us out of nowhere here in Cincinnati… I think it's a hot topic right now, but I think the tour is doing a pretty good job, and players seem to be okay with everything.”
Pegula J.PFSN ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula dropped just 5 games past Simona Waltert.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Pegula J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadWaltert S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About